Understanding Exponential Growth and Our Limitations
Correction Concepts

Understanding Exponential Growth and Our Limitations

Corrected by Emir Baycan · on When Notes Fly · 28 July 2026 · View published page ↗

Explore how exponential growth differs from linear thinking, illustrated by real-world examples to enhance comprehension.

Factually incorrectMissing context

What was corrected

What the page claimed

The article gave chessboard masses about 1,000x too large, a 3-6 day COVID doubling time attributed to Li et al., a Lyu-Wehby study framed as a South Korea/Taiwan/New Zealand early-intervention comparison, a credit-card balance that both doubles and is paid down by minimum payments, a specific 2001 Kahneman study, universal Ebbinghaus forgetting percentages, and an IPCC prediction of exponential warming acceleration.

What was corrected

Recomputed the grain masses at the stated conversion rate, corrected the epidemiological and study attributions to the primary sources, separated the incompatible debt calculations, and qualified the psychology and climate claims to what the sources actually support.

Why this is better

These were verifiable arithmetic errors and mis-citations. Corrections use the article's own stated conversion rate and the primary studies (Li et al. 2020; Lyu and Wehby 2020; the 2016 O'Neill AMR Review; IPCC AR6) rather than new unverified sources.

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