What Is the Planning Fallacy and Why Projects Always Run
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What Is the Planning Fallacy and Why Projects Always Run

Published by When Notes Fly · View original ↗

The planning fallacy is the tendency to underestimate how long projects will take despite knowing that similar projects ran over. Learn the science, the...

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  1. 12 July 2026 · corrected by Emir Baycan

    2 corrections applied: Sydney Opera House figures are Australian dollars, not pounds sterling | Kahneman reports the curriculum project was completed in about eight years, not ten

    Before

    (1) The Sydney Opera House, estimated at £7 million, cost £102 million. (2) they increased their estimate to eight years. The project ultimately took ten.

    After

    (1) The Sydney Opera House, estimated at about AU$7 million, cost about AU$102 million. (2) they increased their estimate to eight years. The project ultimately took eight.

    Why: Verified both corrections already correctly applied in the article body (AU$ currency for Sydney Opera House; 'took eight' for the curriculum project). No other mentions elsewhere in article. FAQ field checked, does not reference either fact. No changes needed.

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