Correction Concepts
Probabilistic Thinking for Enhanced Decision-Making
Master the art of probabilistic thinking to evaluate outcomes more effectively and make informed decisions.
Factually incorrect
What was corrected
What the page claimed
The article said the Good Judgment Project's top quartile became superforecasters, and that Astro Teller's 'one in ten' Google X project-abandonment rate is a 90% attrition rate.
What was corrected
Corrected the superforecaster selectivity to roughly the top 2% and fixed the attrition-rate arithmetic (1 in 10 is 10%, not 90%).
Why this is better
One figure overstated how selective superforecaster status was, and the other was a basic arithmetic error (confusing 1-in-10 with 90%). Corrections fix the math rather than adding new sources.
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